October 11, 2000
Laws Area Hydrology and Canal Operations
Robert F. Harrington, Ph.D.
Hydrologist
Inyo County Water Department
The following five questions are addressed in the material below:
What have past practices since 1970 been on the McNally canals?
How has the depth to water fluctuated beneath vegetation parcels that are significantly below baseline?
What is the relation between flows in the McNally canals and water table fluctuations in the Laws area?
How has LADWPs divergence from past practices affected water levels in the Laws area?
How will operating the McNally canals in the future promote water table recovery?
1. Past practices of operation of the McNally canals. Diversions into the Upper and Lower McNally canals from the Owens River (Figure 1) are given in Table 1. The frequency and volume of diversions between 1970 and 1995, and their distribution and use along the McNally canal system define past practices of operation of the McNally canals since 1970. During the interval 1996 through 2000, LADWP has diverged from its past practice by not running a significant amount of water in the McNally canals during years with less than 140% of normal runoff; therefore these years should not be included in the definition of past practices. The nature of the divergence from past practices during 1996-2000 is discussed later in this document (section 4).
Table 1. Diversions from the Owens River to the McNally canals. Runoff year is from April 1 to March 31 of the following year. Data are from LADWP Totals and Means Report and annual runoff summaries for 1997, 1998, and 1999.
| Runoff year | Upper McNally (acre feet) | Lower McNally (acre feet) | Total (upper plus lower, acre feet) | Owens Valley runoff (percent of normal) |
2000* |
0 |
0 |
0 |
91** |
1999 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
97** |
1998 |
15413 |
13997 |
29410 |
145 |
1997 |
3614 |
1278 |
4892 |
120 |
1996 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
131 |
1995 |
10667 |
12130 |
22797 |
150 |
1994 |
18 |
8 |
26 |
65 |
1993 |
14999 |
3083 |
18082 |
103 |
1992 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
1991 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
62 |
1990 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
1989 |
0 |
173 |
173 |
61 |
1988 |
0 |
3743 |
3743 |
61 |
1987 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
66 |
1986 |
16420 |
11784 |
28204 |
154 |
1985 |
1870 |
2247 |
4117 |
100 |
1984 |
5513 |
1076 |
6589 |
118 |
1983 |
21317 |
11175 |
32492 |
185 |
1982 |
23179 |
18391 |
41570 |
156 |
1981 |
3273 |
17 |
3290 |
82 |
1980 |
16122 |
13010 |
29132 |
143 |
1979 |
6505 |
356 |
6861 |
96 |
1978 |
13135 |
5232 |
18367 |
152 |
1977 |
679 |
0 |
679 |
51 |
1976 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
58 |
1975 |
5743 |
1499 |
7242 |
88 |
1974 |
9652 |
4971 |
14623 |
109 |
1973 |
4990 |
244 |
5234 |
109 |
1972 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
65 |
1971 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
1970 |
17154 |
2204 |
19358 |
89 |
*Diversions based on LADWPs stated intent to not operate McNally canals in 2000
**Estimated from LADWP runoff forecasts.
2. Depth to water beneath parcels with vegetation significantly below baseline. The best information regarding depth to water in the Laws area is from LADWP shallow monitoring wells. These data were transmitted to the Inyo County Water Department from LADWP in November, 1999 (letter from Mr. Coufal to Mr. James, November 18, 1999). Figures 2 through 6 show the depth to water beneath vegetation parcels that are significantly below baseline vegetation cover according to the year 2000 vegetation survey. The location of each parcel and monitoring well referred to in Figures 2 through 6 is given in Figure 1. Because not all vegetation parcels contain shallow monitoring wells, and because the depth to water may vary across a parcel, the depth to water beneath each parcel must be estimated from nearby monitoring wells. The hydrograph given for each parcel was interpolated from nearby monitoring wells, as described in Harrington and Howard (2000). For purposes of comparison, for each parcel hydrograph, a hydrograph of a selected nearby monitoring well is shown. The parcel hydrographs and monitoring well hydrographs show similar patterns, attesting that the interpolated hydrographs are a reasonable estimate of depth to water beneath the vegetation parcels. Four features are common to each parcel hydrograph: (1) a period of high water table during 1985 through 1987, (2) a period of decline resulting in a depressed water table in the late-1980s and early-1990s, (3) a period of water table recovery peaking in 1999, and (4) a decline from 1999 to 2000. The pattern of a high water table during the mid-1980s, a sharp decline in the late-1980s, and gradual recovery in the 1990s is typical of shallow monitoring wells in LADWP well fields throughout the Owens Valley.
Figure 2. Depth to water beneath parcel LAW052. Note that well 494T is dry for long periods between 1988 and 1998.
Figure 3. Depth to water beneath parcel LAW062. Note that well 577T is dry for long periods between 1989 and 1993.
Figure 4. Depth to water beneath parcel LAW082. Note that well 577T is dry for long periods between 1989 and 1993.
Figure 5. Depth to water beneath parcel LAW085. Note that well V001G is dry for long periods between 1988 and 1998. Note that parcel LAW085 occupies a topographic position intermediate between wells 435T and 492T, hence the intermediate depth to water. Well V001G is within the parcel boundaries.
Figure 6. Depth to water beneath parcel LAW112. Note that well 575T is dry between 1988 and 1995.
3. Linkage between McNally Canal operations and water table fluctuations. When water is diverted from the Owens River into the McNally canals, seepage from the canal channel contributes an important amount of groundwater recharge to the Laws area (Green Book, p. 106-108 and Table IV.7). The recharge source for the Laws area differs from other LADWP well fields in the Owens Valley. Most well fields are recharged primarily by seepage from stream channels issuing from the Sierra Nevada (e.g., Green Book, Table IV.13), but in the Laws area, the only streams that contribute recharge are the relatively small streams of the White Mountains and Fish Slough. Green Book Table IV.3 attributes annual average rates of 4.025 cfs to the upper McNally canal and 3.330 cfs to the lower McNally canal, for a total recharge rate of 7.355 cfs recharged to the groundwater system from canal seepage when both canals are operated, which equates to a rate of 5315 acre feet per year. Another estimate of the magnitude of recharge to the Laws area can be calculated from Danskins (1998, p. 51) statement that large canals of the Owens Valley such as the upper McNally canal can sustain seepage rates of 1.1 cfs per mile for periods of several months. The upper and lower McNally canals comprise a system of about 20 miles of canal channel, which results in a seepage rate of 22 cfs for the system. If the canals produced this seepage rate for an entire year, 15,900 acre feet of recharge would result, which represents an approximate upper bound to the recharge possible due to canal seepage. Not all of the water diverted into the McNally canals is consigned to raising the water table and satisfying phreatophyte consumptive demands; a portion of the water returns to the river/aqueduct system by groundwater flow or via the Laws Return Ditch. When water tables in the Laws area are raised, the hydraulic gradient from the Laws area to the Owens River is increased, which increases the rate of groundwater flow into the river channel, thus it is incorrect to assume that the entire volume of recharge induced by operating the McNally canals represents a loss of that entire volume from the river/aqueduct system.
A rigorous water budget for the Laws area has not been assembled, but to put these figures in context, they can be compared with other components of the water budget for the Laws area. Underflow from Chalfant Valley is estimated to be approximately 2500 acre feet per year (Green Book, Table IV.12), recharge from streams in the Laws area in a year of normal runoff is about 1270 acre feet per year (Green Book, Tables IV.1, IV.11, equation IV.1), and runoff-year groundwater pumping in the Laws area has ranged as high as 38,841 acre feet (in 1988). Water spreading and irrigation are also part of the distribution and use of canal flows within the canal system, and these activities also contribute to recharge beyond seepage directly from the canal channel (Green Book, Tables IV.10 and IV.12).
When change in depth to water (the difference between the fourth and second columns in Table 2) is compared to diversions into the McNally canals, there is revealed a clear tendency for the water table to rise when the canals are operated (Figure 7). This indicates that there is a connection between canal operations and recovery of the water table. Variables such as groundwater pumping, irrigation, water spreading, runoff, and river stage also influence the water table, but it is clear from Figure 7 that canal operations exert a strong influence on the water table in the Laws area.
Figure 7. Change in depth to water (or water table elevation) in Laws area indicator wells (April to subsequent April), and runoff-year diversions from the Owens River to the McNally canals. The data are derived from Table 2 by subtracting the second column from the fourth and converting to meters.
Relationships between hydrologic variables such as shown in Figure 7 allow predictive models to be developed based on past observations of hydrologic variables. The County and LADWP have used a network of shallow monitoring wells as indicator wells to assess the effect of groundwater extraction and recharge on water table elevation (Harrington, 1999; Harrington, 1998; Jackson, 1996; Kavounas, 1993; Jackson, 1992). These wells were chosen based on their ability to predict the water tables response to pumping stress and recharge. Elsewhere in the Owens Valley, LADWP and Inyo County have developed multiple linear regression models by regressing April water table elevation against pumping within a wellfield and Owens Valley runoff. However, in the Laws area, recharge is largely derived from seepage from the McNally canals or from water spreading from diversions from the McNally canals; therefore diversions into the McNally canals from the Owens River is a better predictive variable in the Laws area than Owens Valley runoff.
Indicator wells in the Laws area are 107T, 436T, 438T, 490T, 492T, and 493T (Figure 1). The data used to develop the regression models are given in Table 1. These data were taken from LADWPs Totals and Means Reports and Monthly Well Reports.
The multiple linear regression model for each indicator well has the form:
![]()
where h1 is the predicted water table elevation at the end of the runoff year, h0 is the observed water table elevation at the start of the runoff year, P is the pumping in the Laws wellfield during the runoff year in acre feet, and Q is the flow diverted from the Owens River into the McNally canals during the runoff year in acre feet. a0, a1, a2 and a3 are regression coefficients (Table 3). The regression coefficients are derived by the widely used technique of multiple linear regression (Holder, 1985). All the regression coefficients presented in Table 3 are significant at a level of P < 0.05, except for the a2 for well 490T, which is significant at a P<0.08 level. Prediction uncertainty is assessed using Monte Carlo simulation as described in Harrington (1998). The largest component of the uncertainty is due to the standard error of the regression, which is given for each model in Table 3.
The success of the regression models depends on there being a correlation between water table fluctuations, groundwater pumping, and operation of the McNally canals. Table 4
gives the Pearsons correlation coefficient for change in depth to water in Laws area indicator wells (Table 2), groundwater pumping in the Laws area, and diversions from the Owens River into the McNally canals. Groundwater pumping and water table fluctuations are significantly and negatively correlated, i.e., groundwater pumping is correlated with water table declines. The correlation between water table fluctuations and McNally operations is positive and slightly larger than the correlation between pumping and water table fluctuations, attesting to the importance of canal operations in providing recharge. These results confirm what common sense and elementary hydrology would suggest: that groundwater pumping reduces groundwater levels and recharge increases groundwater levels.
Table 2. Data used for development of multiple linear regression models. Initial water table is the elevation above sea level of the water table measured during April of the year in the first column; pumping is runoff-year (April 1 through March 31) pumping for the Laws wellfield (acre feet); diversions to canals are the runoff-year diversions from the Owens River into the upper and lower McNally canals (acre feet); final water table is the water table elevation at the end of the runoff year. The fifth column is regressed against the second, third and fourth columns.
| Monitoring well 107T; RP elevation: 4156.1 ft; Land surface elevation: 4154.8 ft | ||||
| Year | Initial water table | Pumping | Diversions to canals | Final water table |
1972 |
4126.75 |
28345 |
0 |
4117.09 |
1973 |
4117.09 |
15974 |
5234 |
4119.23 |
1976 |
4126.55 |
16285 |
0 |
4121.95 |
1977 |
4121.95 |
15038 |
679 |
4119.32 |
1978 |
4119.32 |
945 |
18367 |
4126.80 |
1979 |
4126.80 |
17933 |
6861 |
4120.55 |
1980 |
4120.55 |
1251 |
29132 |
4132.28 |
1981 |
4132.28 |
25313 |
3290 |
4121.01 |
1982 |
4121.01 |
1388 |
41570 |
4135.52 |
1983 |
4135.52 |
1113 |
32492 |
4137.25 |
1984 |
4137.25 |
7403 |
6589 |
4134.80 |
1985 |
4134.80 |
17369 |
4117 |
4129.60 |
1986 |
4129.60 |
8600 |
28204 |
4131.90 |
1987 |
4131.90 |
38241 |
0 |
4119.00 |
1998 |
4121.60 |
483 |
29410 |
4132.60 |
1999 |
4132.60 |
1674 |
0 |
4129.60 |
2000 |
4129.60 |
|||
| Monitoring well 436T; RP elevation: 4107.5; Land surface elevation: 4106.3 | ||||
| Year | Water table elevation | Pumping | Diversions to canals | Final water table |
1976 |
4095.23 |
16285 |
0 |
4091.86 |
1977 |
4091.86 |
15038 |
679 |
4090.75 |
1978 |
4090.75 |
945 |
18367 |
4095.60 |
1979 |
4095.60 |
17933 |
6861 |
4093.65 |
1980 |
4093.65 |
1251 |
29132 |
4099.62 |
1981 |
4099.62 |
25313 |
3290 |
4094.73 |
1982 |
4094.73 |
1388 |
41570 |
4102.24 |
1983 |
4102.24 |
1113 |
32492 |
4101.53 |
1984 |
4101.53 |
7403 |
6589 |
4100.00 |
1985 |
4100.00 |
17369 |
4117 |
4097.40 |
1986 |
4097.40 |
8600 |
28204 |
4099.90 |
1987 |
4099.90 |
38241 |
0 |
4094.20 |
1988 |
4094.20 |
38841 |
3743 |
4090.30 |
1989 |
4090.30 |
34785 |
173 |
4088.70 |
1993 |
4089.10 |
12618 |
18082 |
4092.80 |
1994 |
4092.80 |
16187 |
26 |
4092.10 |
1995 |
4092.10 |
8249 |
22797 |
4096.60 |
1996 |
4096.60 |
11199 |
0 |
4094.80 |
1997 |
4094.80 |
2951 |
4892 |
4096.00 |
1998 |
4096.00 |
483 |
29410 |
4100.50 |
1999 |
4100.50 |
1674 |
0 |
4098.70 |
2000 |
4098.70 |
|||
| Monitoring well 438T; RP elevation: 4142.1 ft; Land surface elevation: 4138.9 ft | ||||
| Year | Initial water table | Pumping | Diversions to canals | Final water table |
1976 |
4129.44 |
16285 |
0 |
4127.66 |
1977 |
4127.66 |
15038 |
679 |
4126.96 |
1978 |
4126.96 |
945 |
18367 |
4131.21 |
1979 |
4131.21 |
17933 |
6861 |
4128.16 |
1980 |
4128.16 |
1251 |
29132 |
4133.26 |
1981 |
4133.26 |
25313 |
3290 |
4128.09 |
1982 |
4128.09 |
1388 |
41570 |
4136.37 |
1983 |
4136.37 |
1113 |
32492 |
4134.97 |
1984 |
4134.97 |
7403 |
6589 |
4133.2 |
1985 |
4133.2 |
17369 |
4117 |
4131.9 |
1986 |
4131.9 |
8600 |
28204 |
4132.4 |
1987 |
4132.4 |
38241 |
0 |
4125.3 |
1988 |
4125.3 |
38841 |
3743 |
4122 |
1989 |
4122 |
34785 |
173 |
4122.4 |
1990 |
4122.4 |
16933 |
0 |
4122.9 |
1991 |
4122.9 |
10949 |
0 |
4123.7 |
1992 |
4123.7 |
10562 |
0 |
4124.6 |
1993 |
4124.6 |
12618 |
18082 |
4124.7 |
1994 |
4124.7 |
16187 |
26 |
4124.7 |
1995 |
4124.7 |
8249 |
22797 |
4127.5 |
1996 |
4127.5 |
11199 |
0 |
4126.3 |
1997 |
4126.3 |
2951 |
4892 |
4125.1 |
1998 |
4125.1 |
483 |
29410 |
4131.3 |
1999 |
4131.3 |
1674 |
0 |
4128.1 |
2000 |
4128.1 |
|||
| Monitoring well 490T;RP elevation: 4078.3 ft; Land surface elevation: 4077.3 ft | ||||
| Year | Initial water table elevation | Pumping | Diversions to McNally canals | Final water table elevation |
1976 |
4059.85 |
16285 |
0 |
4058.39 |
1977 |
4058.39 |
15038 |
679 |
4057.86 |
1978 |
4057.86 |
945 |
18367 |
4061.81 |
1979 |
4061.81 |
17933 |
6861 |
4061.19 |
1980 |
4061.19 |
1251 |
29132 |
4064.33 |
1981 |
4064.33 |
25313 |
3290 |
4062.48 |
1982 |
4062.48 |
1388 |
41570 |
4067.34 |
1983 |
4067.34 |
1113 |
32492 |
4068.26 |
1984 |
4068.26 |
7403 |
6589 |
4065 |
1985 |
4065 |
17369 |
4117 |
4063.6 |
1986 |
4063.6 |
8600 |
28204 |
4067.1 |
1987 |
4067.1 |
38241 |
0 |
4064.1 |
1988 |
4064.1 |
38841 |
3743 |
4061.1 |
1989 |
4061.1 |
34785 |
173 |
4058.2 |
1990 |
4058.2 |
16933 |
0 |
4056.9 |
1991 |
4056.9 |
10949 |
0 |
4056.4 |
1992 |
4056.4 |
10562 |
0 |
4056.5 |
1993 |
4056.5 |
12618 |
18082 |
4057.9 |
1994 |
4057.9 |
16187 |
26 |
4058.2 |
1995 |
4058.2 |
8249 |
22797 |
4061.9 |
1996 |
4061.9 |
11199 |
0 |
4061.1 |
1997 |
4061.1 |
2951 |
4892 |
4060.3 |
1998 |
4060.3 |
483 |
29410 |
4062.8 |
1999 |
4062.8 |
1674 |
0 |
4062 |
2000 |
4062 |
|||
| Monitoring well 492T; RP elevation: 4130.1 ft; Land surface elevation: 4128.4 ft | ||||
| Year | Initial water table | Pumping | Diversions to canals | Final water table |
1977 |
4074.47 |
15038 |
679 |
4073.76 |
1978 |
4073.76 |
945 |
18367 |
4093.66 |
1979 |
4093.66 |
17933 |
6861 |
4082.93 |
1980 |
4082.93 |
1251 |
29132 |
4100.18 |
1981 |
4100.18 |
25313 |
3290 |
4086.39 |
1982 |
4086.39 |
1388 |
41570 |
4104.65 |
1983 |
4104.65 |
1113 |
32492 |
4106.91 |
1984 |
4106.91 |
7403 |
6589 |
4102.7 |
1985 |
4102.7 |
17369 |
4117 |
4091.3 |
1986 |
4091.3 |
8600 |
28204 |
4097.7 |
1987 |
4097.7 |
38241 |
0 |
4081.2 |
1988 |
4081.2 |
38841 |
3743 |
4072.5 |
1993 |
4079.6 |
12618 |
18082 |
4088.2 |
1994 |
4088.2 |
16187 |
26 |
4085.8 |
1995 |
4085.8 |
8249 |
22797 |
4092.5 |
1996 |
4092.5 |
11199 |
0 |
4090 |
1997 |
4090 |
2951 |
4892 |
4093.5 |
1998 |
4093.5 |
483 |
29410 |
4102.9 |
1999 |
4102.9 |
1674 |
0 |
4101.1 |
2000 |
4101.1 |
|||
| Monitoring well 493T; RP elevation: 4133.2 ft; Land surface elevation: 4131.6 ft | ||||
| Year | Initial water table | Pumping | Diversions to canals | Final water table |
1977 |
4093.08 |
15038 |
679 |
4090.55 |
1978 |
4090.55 |
945 |
18367 |
4107.35 |
1979 |
4107.35 |
17933 |
6861 |
4102.39 |
1980 |
4102.39 |
1251 |
29132 |
4116.78 |
1981 |
4116.78 |
25313 |
3290 |
4107.12 |
1982 |
4107.12 |
1388 |
41570 |
4122.72 |
1983 |
4122.72 |
1113 |
32492 |
4122.66 |
1984 |
4122.66 |
7403 |
6589 |
4118.6 |
1985 |
4118.6 |
17369 |
4117 |
4110.8 |
1986 |
4110.8 |
8600 |
28204 |
4117.8 |
1987 |
4117.8 |
38241 |
0 |
4103 |
1988 |
4103 |
38841 |
3743 |
4094.2 |
1989 |
4094.2 |
34785 |
173 |
4082.1 |
1990 |
4082.1 |
16933 |
0 |
4083.7 |
1991 |
4083.7 |
10949 |
0 |
4088.3 |
1992 |
4088.3 |
10562 |
0 |
4087.4 |
1993 |
4087.4 |
12618 |
18082 |
4103.2 |
1994 |
4103.2 |
16187 |
26 |
4097.7 |
1995 |
4097.7 |
8249 |
22797 |
4106.5 |
1996 |
4106.5 |
11199 |
0 |
4100.5 |
1997 |
4100.5 |
2951 |
4892 |
4105 |
1998 |
4105 |
483 |
29410 |
4118.8 |
1999 |
4118.8 |
1674 |
0 |
4114.2 |
2000 |
4114.2 |
|||
Table 3. Regression coefficients and statistics for multiple linear regression models. n is number of data, r2 is the adjusted coefficient of determination, and SE is the standard error of the regression.
Well |
||||||
| Coefficient | 107T |
436T |
438T |
490T |
492T |
493T |
| a0 | 1.94E+03 |
1.84E+03 |
1.94E+03 |
1.14E+03 |
2.09E+03 |
1.54E+03 |
| a1 | 5.31E-01 |
5.51E-01 |
5.30E-01 |
7.19E-01 |
4.89E-01 |
6.26E-01 |
| a2 | -3.39E-04 |
-1.25E-04 |
-1.04E-04 |
-3.60E-05 |
-4.99E-04 |
-3.31E-04 |
| a3 | 2.41E-04 |
1.51E-04 |
1.55E-04 |
1.41E-04 |
2.90E-04 |
4.26E-04 |
| n | 16 |
21 |
24 |
24 |
19 |
23 |
| Multiple r | 0.97 |
0.97 |
0.94 |
0.98 |
0.97 |
0.97 |
| SE (feet) | 1.86 |
0.98 |
1.47 |
0.83 |
2.68 |
3.01 |
Table 4. Pearsons correlation coefficients for change in depth to water in Laws area indicator wells (Dh), groundwater pumping in the Laws well field (P), and diversions from the Owens River into the McNally canals (Q).
| Dh | P | Q | |
D h |
1.00 | -0.62 | 0.68 |
P |
1.00 | -0.56 | |
Q |
1.00 |
4. The relationship between LADWPs divergence from past practices in operation of the McNally canals and water table fluctuations in the Laws area. In the context of the Agreements provisions for vegetation management and surface water, past practices of surface water conveyances refers to the frequency of operation and the volume of water diverted into conveyances, and the distribution and use of those diversions within the conveyance system.
In Figure 8, canal diversions are plotted against percent of normal Owens Valley runoff. Since 1996, LADWPs has operated the McNally canals less frequently and has reduced the volume of water diverted. During the interval 1970-1995, it was LADWPs practice to run the McNally canals when the runoff was more than approximately 80% of normal, with diversions increasing as runoff increased (Figure 8). The period 1996 through 2000 diverges from this practice. No water was diverted into the canals during runoff-year 1996 despite 131% of normal runoff, and a modest 4892 acre feet were diverted into the canals in runoff-year 1997 despite a 120% of normal runoff year. 1999 saw no diversions into the canals and LADWP has stated they do not plan to run the canals during 2000, despite the fact that is has been LADWPs past practice to run the canals in 80-100% of normal runoff years. The pattern of diversions into the McNally canals since 1996 is consistent with LADWPs verbal statement that the McNally canals would henceforth be run only when Owens Valley runoff was greater than 140% of normal, i.e., the only year since 1996 that has conformed to past practices is 1998, a 145% of normal runoff year. Examination of Figure 8 suggests that adherence to past practices would result in diversions into the McNally canals of 10,000 to 20,000 acre feet per year for runoff-year 1996 and 1997.
The interval of low diversions from 1987 through 1992 (Table 1) is consistent with LADWPs past practice of not diverting water into the McNally canals in years where percent of normal runoff was less that about 80% (e.g., 1971, 1972, 1976, and 1977).
Figure 8. Runoff-year (April 1 through March 31) diversions from the Owen River into the Upper and Lower McNally canals plotted against percent of normal Owens Valley runoff (data from LADWP Totals and Means Report).
In order to assess the effect that LADWPs divergence from past practice had on the water table, regression model simulations of runoff years 1996 through 2000 were conducted to examine water table fluctuations under the extant management versus water table fluctuations that would likely have occurred had LADWP adhered to their past practices. Three scenarios were simulated: the first is the actual pumping and runoff that occurred, the second and third use increased diversions into the McNally canals to examine what would have happened had past practices been adhered to. Simulation #2 uses 10,000 acre feet of diversions in 1996 and 1997, and simulation #3 uses 20,000 acre feet of diversions in 1996 and 1997 as input. These two cases roughly bracket the range of diversions that would have occurred under past practices. The pumping stress in each simulation is the same. Pumping for runoff year 2000 is simulated based on the amount of pumping promulgated in LADWPs pumping plan for 2000. Well 107T was not simulated because it was dry until January 1998.
Table 5. Input data used in simulations (acre feet).
Simulation |
||||||
| #1 Actual conditions | #2 Past practices, low diversions | #3 Past practices, moderate diversions | ||||
| Year | Canals |
Pumping |
Canals |
Pumping |
Canals |
Pumping |
| 1996 | 0 |
11199 |
10000 |
11199 |
20000 |
11199 |
| 1997 | 4892 |
2951 |
10000 |
2951 |
20000 |
2951 |
| 1998 | 29410 |
483 |
29410 |
483 |
29410 |
483 |
| 1999 | 0 |
1674 |
5000 |
1674 |
5000 |
1674 |
| 2000 | 0 |
4000 |
5000 |
4000 |
5000 |
4000 |
Figures 9 through 13 show the results of the three simulations and the observed water table fluctuations for wells 436T, 438T, 490T, 492T, and 493T (see Figure 1 for the locations of the wells). The indicator wells do not lie within the boundaries of the affected vegetation parcels, so they do not provide parcel-specific simulations of water table fluctuations beneath each parcel; rather, they provide a sample of how the water table in the Laws area responds to the various management scenarios given in Table 3. Comparison between the observed water table fluctuations and the water table fluctuations simulated using the diversions and pumping that actually occurred (simulation #1) provides a sense of how well the models reproduce the water table fluctuations that actually occurred. Other more general measured of model fit are given in Table 3. Simulations #2 and #3 provide estimates of how the water table would have responded had the McNally canals been operated in accordance with past practices in 1996, 1997, 1999, and 2000.
Table 6 summarizes the predicted effect that divergence from past practices will have had on the water table at these five monitoring wells at the end of runoff-year 2000. The effect of the reduced recharge over the period 1996-2000 is estimated to result in reductions in the water table elevation of between 0.45 and 1.85 m below what would have occurred if the McNally canals had been operated in a manner consistent with past practices. The degree of reduction in water table elevation depends on the location of the monitoring well and the amount of flow in the canals (i.e., simulation #2 versus simulation #3). These model results are consistent with the Table IV.7 in the Green Book, wherein it is shown that the McNally canals contribute a substantial amount of recharge to the Laws area, and are consistent with the observed correlation between water table recovery and operation of the McNally canals (Tables 3 and 4). Note that a similar analysis of the model results for runoff-year 1999 (rather than 2000) would yield similar results to those presented in Table 6, and that the model results are consistent with the observed fluctuations in the water table (Figures 9 through 13).
Table 6. April 2001 predicted difference in depth to water between
simulation #1 (actual practices) and simulations #2 and #3 (adherence to past practices).
D DTW (meters), April 2001 |
||
Well |
Simulation #2 |
Simulation #3 |
436T |
0.50 |
0.66 |
438T |
0.45 |
0.56 |
490T |
0.59 |
0.87 |
492T |
0.77 |
0.91 |
493T |
1.39 |
1.85 |
Figure 9. Simulation results for well 436T. The difference between simulation #1 and simulations #2 and #3 is due to recharge from the McNally canals (see Table 5).
Figure 10. Simulation results for well 438T. The difference between simulation #1 and simulations #2 and #3 is due to recharge from the McNally canals (see Table 5).
Figure 11. Simulation results for well 490T. The difference between simulation #1 and simulations #2 and #3 is due to recharge from the McNally canals (see Table 5).
Figure 12. Simulation results for well 492T. The difference between simulation #1 and simulations #2 and #3 is due to recharge from the McNally canals (see Table 5).
Figure 13. Simulation results for well 493T. The difference between simulation #1 and simulations #2 and #3 is due to recharge from the McNally canals (see Table 5).
5. Relationship between future operations of the McNally canals and water table recovery. The regression coefficients associated with canal flows, a3, give the amount of water table rise per acre foot of water diverted into the McNally canals. The values given for this regression coefficient in Table 3 indicate that the water table rises between 0.046 and 0.129 meters (0.151 and 0.426 feet) per 1000 acre feet diverted into the canals. Thus, a diversion of 20,000 acre feet into the McNally canals next runoff year would promote 0.92 and 2.58 m of water table recovery. Areas such as parcels LAW052, LAW082, and LAW085 that are near the canals and areas of water spreading and irrigation would have relatively large rises in the water table. Recovery would vary with location within the Laws area, and would be diminished or reversed if groundwater pumping should occur.
References
Danskin, W. R., Evaluation of the Hydrologic System and Water-Management Alternatives, USGS WSP 2370-H, 1998.
Green Book for the Long-Term Groundwater Management Plan for the Owens Valley and Inyo County, Technical Appendix to the Inyo County/Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Long-Term Water Agreement, 1990.
Harrington, R. F., Multiple Regression Modeling of Water Table Response to Pumping and Runoff, County of Inyo Water Department Report, 1998.
Harrington, R., Updated Regression Models for Forecasting Pumping-Induced Water Table Fluctuations, County of Inyo Water Department Report, June 1999.
Harrington, R., and C. Howard, Depth to Groundwater Beneath Vegetation Reinventory Parcels, County of Inyo Water Department Report, June 2000.
Holder, R. L., Multiple Regression in Hydrology, Institute of Hydrology, 1985.
Jackson, R., Water Level Predicting Multiple Linear Regression Models Developed for the Eighteen Indicator Shallow Test Wells in Owens Valley, California, ICWD report 92-3, 1992.
Jackson, R., Water Level Predicting Multiple Linear Regression Models Developed for Shallow Groundwater Observation Wells in the Bishop Well Field in Owens Valley, California, Report 96-2 (draft), Inyo Co. Water Dept., 1996.
Kavounas, P., Water Level Predicting Multiple Linear Regression Models Developed for the Eighteen Indicator Shallow Test Wells in Owens Valley, California, memorandum to Randy Jackson, June 13, 1993.